Kass: Market Has Made Low For Year
Published: Tuesday, 6 Jul 2010 | 6:15 PM ET
Text Size
By: Drew Sandholm
Web Producer
Web Producer
 |
He's a celebrated bear, so when Doug Kass of Seabreeze says the market has made it's low for the year, we listen.
After travelling a "path of fear" markets have dramatically disconnected from fundamentals, Kass says on Tuesday's Fast Money.
Kass thinks investors are missing a slew of signs all of which suggest the economy isn't nearly as bad as the price action in the S&P suggests.
After travelling a "path of fear" markets have dramatically disconnected from fundamentals, Kass says on Tuesday's Fast Money.
Kass thinks investors are missing a slew of signs all of which suggest the economy isn't nearly as bad as the price action in the S&P suggests.
| ||
When you go beneath the surface of employment data and manufacturing numbers Kass sees strength.
"If you look at the June ISM non-manufacturing index," he says, "the employment component dropped only marginally and is consistent with respectable payroll growth.And the employment trend index was up for the 11th straight month in a row and it always leads payroll growth. The index is up 5 points above it's long term average."
On top of that, "high yield bond rates were down, 2-year swap spreads were down, 3-month LIBOR was down and the euro was up."
On top of that, "high yield bond rates were down, 2-year swap spreads were down, 3-month LIBOR was down and the euro was up."
All positive signs, Kass says.
In fact, Kass is so positive he predicts GDP in the second half of the year will likely be up over 1%.
And to top it all off, he says market indicators are off the charts in terms of stocks being oversold.
What's the trade?
In anticipation of a snap-back in the second-half, Kass recommends taking a look at the technology sector [XLK 20.49
0.20 (+0.99%) 
]. Always go with technology for beta, he says.
What's the bottom line?
"We have reached a yearly low for the market for the year," he concludes. "This business is going to be fun again and it's going to happen sooner than most people think."
In fact, Kass is so positive he predicts GDP in the second half of the year will likely be up over 1%.
And to top it all off, he says market indicators are off the charts in terms of stocks being oversold.
What's the trade?
In anticipation of a snap-back in the second-half, Kass recommends taking a look at the technology sector [XLK 20.49
0.20 (+0.99%) ]. Always go with technology for beta, he says.What's the bottom line?
"We have reached a yearly low for the market for the year," he concludes. "This business is going to be fun again and it's going to happen sooner than most people think."
You can find our complete interview with Doug Kass in the Word On The Street video clip above or click here.
No comments:
Post a Comment