Wednesday, October 27, 2010

This Chart Doesn't Compute! (vs. earlier recessions)

Typically BEFORE the end of every recession, new home sales rise sharply, and keep rising afterwards.
This time?  Not so much.

New Home Sales and RecessionsThis graph shows New Home Sales vs. recessions for the last 47 years. The dashed line is the current sales rate.
Sales of new single-family houses in September 2010 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 307,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 6.6 percent (±16.9%)* above the revised August rate of 288,000, but is 21.5 percent (±13.3%) below the September 2009 estimate of 391,000.

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