Wednesday, August 25, 2010

Not so Durable Goods orders

Durable goods orders widely miss expectation, coming in at +0.3%, on a consensus of +2.8%, with the previous -1.2% drop revised to just -0.1%. Durable goods ex transportation came in at -3.8%, on expectations of 0.5% (previous -0.9% revised to 0.2%). And the kicker - non-defense capital goods ex. aircraft came in at -8.0% M/M versus expectations of 0.4% (with the previous print of 0.2% revised far higher to 3.6%). The 10 Year has hit 2.439% on the news. Goldman is pretty laconic: "This report is weak and much worse than expected." Pretty much game over for the reflation scenario. Check to you Bernanke - the only option left is the nuclear one.

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